City Risk Report

Oakland, CA

Alameda County · Pop. 440,646

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Oakland sits at the intersection of seismic exposure, East Bay hill fire risk, and strong neighborhood-level inequality in heat resilience.

EarthquakeWildfireExtreme Heat

Editorial review: 2026-06-06 · Data retrieved: Jun 6, 2026 at 00:00 UTC (snapshot of historical values) · For the latest live data, run a lookup on the Snapshot tool.

Above the national median (top 40%)Substantial

Overall Risk Score

Above the national median (top 40%)

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Overall Risk

Above the national median (top 31%)

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Expected Loss

$19 report reveals this

Est. Insurance

$19 report reveals this

Last Major Event

1991

Oakland Hills firestorm

Insurance Market Context

These scores are county-level composites derived from FEMA National Risk Index. Individual parcels may differ significantly. This is not a property appraisal.

Insurance market data for California is band-only in the free snapshot. The full report includes admitted-carrier share, YoY exit rate, and the FAIR Plan / Citizens last-resort premium range.

$19 report

Premium Strain Index

Band: high· specific % in $19 report

Premium-to-income ratio. Based on state Department of Insurance filings, average annual premiums in this area range from $1,500 to $3,900. Not an insurance quote. The First Street 12th National Risk Assessment characterizes any ZIP above 5% as financially unsustainable.

Not an insurance quote. These figures are derived from public state Department of Insurance filings and are intended to surface market pressure signals. Actual premiums depend on parcel-specific underwriting factors and carrier availability. Consult a licensed insurance broker for a binding quote.

Alameda County Hazard Breakdown

Scores below are from the federal National Risk Index at the county level, refined with parcel-level signals where available (FEMA NFHL for flood, USDA WHP for wildfire, USGS PGA for earthquake, NWS for heat).

Bottom 20% nationally (95th percentile)

Hurricane

Minimal

Top 14% nationally

Earthquake

Significant

3 hazards locked

$19 report

Hazard
Risk Level
Score · Source
Hurricane
Bottom 20% nationally (95th percentile)· FEMA
Earthquake
Top 14% nationally· FEMA

3 more hazards in the $19 report

Includes score, source, and 30-year projection

What each hazard means for you

Expand any card to see the federal source citation and the buyer-specific action items our research team recommends for this hazard profile.

Hurricane Risk

Bottom 20% nationallyMinimal

Oakland is in an inland state with no Atlantic or Gulf coastline. Hurricane risk is uniformly low at the county level.

FEMA · National Risk Index

Earthquake Risk

Top 15% nationallySignificant

Oakland ranks in the 94th national percentile for earthquake exposure in the FEMA National Risk Index.

FEMA · National Risk Index

3 buyer action checklists locked

The full $19 report includes step-by-step buyer actions for every hazard — flood insurance quotes, defensible-space specs, wind mitigation forms, and HVAC sizing per zone.

FEMA Flood Zone

Is this specific parcel in a Special Flood Hazard Area?

The free address snapshot queries FEMA NFHL point-in-polygon and returns your exact FEMA Flood Zone (A, AE, X, etc.) in seconds.

Run a free address lookup

Carrier Outlook

California's admitted-carrier market is severely contracted. A broker who specializes in last-resort coverage (FAIR Plan / Citizens) is essential.

Connect with a broker who writes in CA

Data Sources

FEMA NRINOAAUSGSUSDAEPA
Data Sources & Methodology

FEMANational Risk Index

Retrieved June 6, 2026

View source
View full methodology

Editorial Analysis

Editor's Intelligence
Reviewed June 6, 2026

The 1991 Oakland Hills firestorm destroyed 3,000 structures and killed 25 people—still the defining local reference for what wildland-urban interface fire risk means in the East Bay hills. Oakland's earthquake score of 86 sits at the 94th national percentile, and both the 1989 Loma Prieta event and the active Hayward Fault beneath the hills set the baseline for seismic diligence in this market. The wildfire score of 67, at the 77th national percentile, reflects a more moderate city-level average that understates actual exposure in the 94611 zip code, where hillside conditions make the 1991 event a repeatable scenario—not a historical outlier. We checked twice: risk in Oakland does not distribute evenly. Downtown and Jack London Square in 94607 face liquefaction sensitivity and waterfront infrastructure concerns—different from the hillside profile entirely. East Oakland's 94621 carries the highest social vulnerability score in the city: heat, older housing without cooling systems, and limited financial recovery capacity stack together in ways that aggregate risk metrics smooth over. Annual premiums range from $1,500 to $3,900 but diverge sharply between the hills and the flatlands. Hillside properties can face FAIR Plan dependence alongside standard earthquake coverage gaps. Older multifamily stock requires retrofit review even where standard coverage remains available. Lake Merritt's 94610 dense older buildings raise retrofit questions that buyers in competitive offer situations sometimes defer past the point where the answer changes the deal. Heat at the 69th national percentile is moderate metro-wide, but East Oakland's lower tree canopy and limited AC penetration make that moderate average a ceiling, not a floor, for the most exposed blocks.

Open Data Collective

Full editorial analysis — including neighborhood-level variations, block-by-block flood overlays, and a tailored insurance-market outlook — is available in the $19 address report.

Historical Events

1991Wildfire

Oakland Hills firestorm

Still the defining warning about WUI-style fire risk in the East Bay hills.

1989Earthquake

Loma Prieta earthquake

Transportation and building damage remain part of the region's risk memory.

ZIP Code Risk Profile

Representative ZIP Codes

94607

Downtown and Jack London

Liquefaction and waterfront infrastructure are the main concerns.

Look up

94610

Lake Merritt area

Dense older buildings raise retrofit questions.

Look up

94611

Oakland Hills

Wildfire risk jumps materially in the hills.

Look up

94621

East Oakland

Heat and social vulnerability stack more strongly here.

Look up

Risk varies significantly by ZIP code and parcel. Use the address-level report for precise, parcel-specific scores rather than city-wide averages.

NRI Score Components

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Overall RiskSubstantial
Expected Annual LossSubstantial
Social VulnerabilitySubstantial
Community ResilienceSubstantial
Resident count at elevated risk
in $19 report

Share this report

Most agents don't run climate analysis

Forward this city risk profile to your buyer's agent so they can price insurance and resilience costs into your offer. Sharing helps us keep generating free intelligence for home buyers.

Oakland Climate Risk FAQ

Ready to check your specific address?

Considering buying in Oakland?

Two tiers, one funnel: run a free address lookup, then unlock the depth that fits your buying stage. Both options deliver a 12-page climate brief before you go under contract.

Full Report

Tier L2

$19per address

12-page address-level deep dive delivered in minutes.

  • Five-hazard score breakdown (flood, wildfire, hurricane, earthquake, heat)
  • 30-year federal climate projections (FEMA, NOAA, USGS, EPA)
  • Insurance premium estimate (range) based on state DOI filings
  • Clear buy / negotiate / walk-away verdict, not a single ambiguous score
  • 3 comparable lower-risk neighborhoods within 25 miles
  • Saves you 6+ hours of digging through FEMA, NFIP, NRI and NOAA on your own
  • Explains what SFHA, BFE, EAL and residual-market mean in plain English
  • Single PDF you can hand to your partner, agent, or inspector in one share

Best for: pre-offer sanity check

Delivered: 5 minutes after payment

Federal data: FEMA, USGS, NOAA, USDA, EPA

Most comprehensive

Pre-Purchase Audit

Tier L3

$99per property

Adds parcel-level flood evaluation, state insurance-market context, claim history, and a negotiation brief on top of the $19 report.

  • Everything in the $19 Full Report
  • Parcel-level FEMA flood zone + BFE considerations (point-in-polygon)
  • State insurance market pressure + admitted-carrier density
  • Premium Strain Index (% of county median income, vs. 5% unaffordable line)
  • 10-year NOAA Storm Events claim history for the ZIP
  • Negotiation leverage brief with 3-5 specific, evidence-backed asks
  • Optional free connection to a licensed independent broker in your state
  • Saves you from discovering an uninsurable address after you've gone under contract
  • Removes guesswork on what to ask for in repairs, credits, or price reduction
  • Analyst editorial sign-off so you can show your agent or lender a reviewed work product, not a raw export

Best for: under-contract buyers

Delivered: 24-hour analyst turnaround

Includes: editorial sign-off + 7-day refund