Hazard Guide

Earthquake Risk

Earthquake risk focuses on shaking intensity, local geology, and how often low-probability but high-impact events matter for buyers.

USGS· USGS Earthquake Hazards

~20,000

US earthquakes per year (M3+)

$20B insured

Northridge 1994 losses

~10%

EQ insurance take-up rate (CA)

About earthquake risk

Earthquake risk in the United States is concentrated in the West Coast, the Pacific Northwest, and a handful of inland zones near the New Madrid and Wabash Valley seismic zones. The USGS National Seismic Hazard Maps are the authoritative federal source; the peak ground acceleration (PGA) value they publish for any lat/lon drives the design loads in modern building codes and is the input to the Risk Before Buy earthquake score.

Earthquake is the hazard with the highest severity-to-frequency gap. A major event in a high-PGA zone happens every 100 to 300 years; the median property owner experiences no earthquake during their holding period. That asymmetry is why earthquake insurance take-up in California — the most exposed state — is roughly 10%. The deductible structure (typically 10 to 20 percent of dwelling value) is a further friction, as is the fact that earthquake coverage is excluded from standard homeowners policies and must be purchased as an endorsement or stand-alone policy through the California Earthquake Authority or a private carrier.

For properties in moderate and high PGA zones, three signals matter most: vintage (pre-1980 construction often needs retrofitting), foundation type (raised, post-and-pier, or unreinforced masonry are the most vulnerable), and soil (liquefaction-prone alluvial and fill soils amplify shaking). A licensed structural engineer is the right professional for a deeper property-level review; the free Risk Before Buy snapshot returns the USGS PGA at the parcel coordinates.

What signals an earthquake-exposed parcel

The strongest signal is the USGS peak ground acceleration (PGA) at the parcel's lat/lon. PGA of 0.5g or higher puts the property in the highest exposure band. Soil type amplifies the signal: properties on soft alluvial or fill soils (typical of reclaimed coastal land) face liquefaction risk in addition to shaking risk. Building vintage is the dominant property-level signal: pre-1980 construction in California often predates modern seismic codes and may require soft-story retrofit or bolting.

Risk Bands Explained

High PGA zone (0.5g+)

Significant shaking risk — retrofitting and EQ insurance strongly advised

Moderate PGA zone (0.2–0.5g)

Elevated seismic hazard — building vintage and soil type matter

Low PGA zone (<0.2g)

Below-average national seismic risk

Buyer Action Checklist

  1. 01

    Check the property's foundation type and vintage — pre-1980 construction often needs soft-story retrofit

  2. 02

    Review whether earthquake coverage is worth pricing — deductibles are typically 10–20% of dwelling value

  3. 03

    Check soil conditions — liquefaction risk can amplify seismic damage significantly

  4. 04

    Look for USGS ShakeMap history for the specific region

Data source: USGS · USGS Earthquake Hazards

Check earthquake risk for a specific address

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Earthquake Risk FAQ

What does a high PGA score mean?

Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) measures the maximum ground shaking at a given location during a design-level earthquake, expressed as a fraction of gravitational acceleration (g). A PGA of 0.5g means the ground could shake at half the force of gravity during a major event. The Risk Before Buy earthquake score uses USGS Design Maps data to convert PGA to a national percentile.

Should I buy earthquake insurance in a moderate PGA zone?

It depends on the property's vintage, foundation, and soil. Earthquake deductibles are typically 10 to 20 percent of dwelling value, which makes coverage expensive relative to the premium. The break-even calculation is property-specific, but for most modern wood-frame construction in moderate zones, the answer is 'probably not' — the premium-to-coverage ratio is unfavorable. For older masonry on fill soil, the answer is usually 'yes.'

How is the USGS PGA different from the Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI)?

PGA is an instrumental measurement of ground acceleration, used in design codes and the FEMA NRI. MMI is a felt-intensity scale (I to XII) that captures what people actually experience during a quake. The Risk Before Buy earthquake score is built on PGA, which is the engineering-relevant signal.