City Risk Report
Paradise, CA
Butte County · Pop. 6,263
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Paradise is the clearest case in this dataset where wildfire history directly defines present-day market risk.
Editorial review: 2026-06-06 · Data retrieved: Jun 6, 2026 at 00:00 UTC (snapshot of historical values) · For the latest live data, run a lookup on the Snapshot tool.
Overall Risk Score
Top 10% nationally
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Overall Risk
Top 10% nationally
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Expected Loss
$19 report reveals this
Est. Insurance
$19 report reveals this
Last Major Event
2018
Camp Fire
Insurance Market Context
These scores are county-level composites derived from FEMA National Risk Index. Individual parcels may differ significantly. This is not a property appraisal.
Insurance market data for California is band-only in the free snapshot. The full report includes admitted-carrier share, YoY exit rate, and the FAIR Plan / Citizens last-resort premium range.
$19 report
Premium Strain Index
Band: severe· specific % in $19 report
Premium-to-income ratio. Based on state Department of Insurance filings, average annual premiums in this area range from $3,200 to $9,000. Not an insurance quote. The First Street 12th National Risk Assessment characterizes any ZIP above 5% as financially unsustainable.
Butte County Hazard Breakdown
Scores below are from the federal National Risk Index at the county level, refined with parcel-level signals where available (FEMA NFHL for flood, USDA WHP for wildfire, USGS PGA for earthquake, NWS for heat).
Bottom 20% nationally (95th percentile)
Hurricane
MinimalAbove the national median (top 39%)
Earthquake
Substantial3 hazards locked
$19 report
3 more hazards in the $19 report
Includes score, source, and 30-year projection
What each hazard means for you
Expand any card to see the federal source citation and the buyer-specific action items our research team recommends for this hazard profile.
Hurricane Risk
Paradise is in an inland state with no Atlantic or Gulf coastline. Hurricane risk is uniformly low at the county level.
FEMA · National Risk Index
Earthquake Risk
Paradise peak ground acceleration is 0.306g (USGS Design Maps, site class D). For parcel-specific assessment, run an address lookup.
USGS · Design Maps (ASCE 7-16)
3 buyer action checklists locked
The full $19 report includes step-by-step buyer actions for every hazard — flood insurance quotes, defensible-space specs, wind mitigation forms, and HVAC sizing per zone.
FEMA Flood Zone
Is this specific parcel in a Special Flood Hazard Area?
The free address snapshot queries FEMA NFHL point-in-polygon and returns your exact FEMA Flood Zone (A, AE, X, etc.) in seconds.
Run a free address lookupCarrier Outlook
California's admitted-carrier market is severely contracted. A broker who specializes in last-resort coverage (FAIR Plan / Citizens) is essential.
Connect with a broker who writes in CAData Sources
Data Sources & Methodology
FEMA— National Risk Index
Retrieved June 6, 2026
USGS— Design Maps (ASCE 7-16)
Retrieved June 6, 2026
Editorial Analysis
Paradise's wildfire score is 99—the 99th national percentile, the top of this dataset—because the Camp Fire of November 2018 burned 95 percent of the town's structures, killed 85 people, and became the most destructive wildfire in California history. There is no need to contextualize that number with soft language. It is a description of what already happened, and the same forest-edge conditions that produced that event persist across the 95967 and 95969 zip codes today. The 2020 North Complex smoke season reinforced that rebuilding in Paradise does not reset the fire-risk baseline; it inherits it. What we noticed: underwriting in this market is not conventional. Standard homeowners policies are broadly unavailable, and most buyers depend on layered coverage structures or the FAIR Plan—which covers fire but leaves gaps in other perils. Annual premiums range from $3,200 to $9,000 but are heavily shaped by defensible space assessments, roof material, and access route evaluations. Some insurers require site visits before quoting. Coverage continuity from one renewal to the next is not guaranteed. The Magalia corridor in 95969 sits at the forest edge where wildfire exposure is highest. Post-Camp Fire rebuilding has introduced improved construction standards in some parcels, but the surrounding vegetation and topography have not changed. Community resilience scores at the 52nd national percentile—one of the lowest in this dataset—reflect ongoing recovery stress. Flood at the 41st percentile is the city's lowest-concern hazard. The single question governing every purchase decision here: can this property obtain continuous, affordable coverage in a WUI market that major carriers have largely exited.
— Open Data Collective
Full editorial analysis — including neighborhood-level variations, block-by-block flood overlays, and a tailored insurance-market outlook — is available in the $19 address report.
Historical Events
Camp Fire
The defining modern example of WUI catastrophe and rebuilding risk.
North Complex smoke season
Regional smoke and evacuation strain persisted after initial rebuilding efforts.
ZIP Code Risk Profile
Representative ZIP Codes
95967
Paradise core
Rebuilding standards improve some resilience while fire context remains dominant.
95969
Magalia corridor
Forest-edge conditions keep wildfire exposure elevated.
Risk varies significantly by ZIP code and parcel. Use the address-level report for precise, parcel-specific scores rather than city-wide averages.
NRI Score Components
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Paradise Climate Risk FAQ
Ready to check your specific address?
Considering buying in Paradise?
Two tiers, one funnel: run a free address lookup, then unlock the depth that fits your buying stage. Both options deliver a 12-page climate brief before you go under contract.
Full Report
Tier L2
12-page address-level deep dive delivered in minutes.
- Five-hazard score breakdown (flood, wildfire, hurricane, earthquake, heat)
- 30-year federal climate projections (FEMA, NOAA, USGS, EPA)
- Insurance premium estimate (range) based on state DOI filings
- Clear buy / negotiate / walk-away verdict, not a single ambiguous score
- 3 comparable lower-risk neighborhoods within 25 miles
- Saves you 6+ hours of digging through FEMA, NFIP, NRI and NOAA on your own
- Explains what SFHA, BFE, EAL and residual-market mean in plain English
- Single PDF you can hand to your partner, agent, or inspector in one share
Best for: pre-offer sanity check
Delivered: 5 minutes after payment
Federal data: FEMA, USGS, NOAA, USDA, EPA
Pre-Purchase Audit
Tier L3
Adds parcel-level flood evaluation, state insurance-market context, claim history, and a negotiation brief on top of the $19 report.
- Everything in the $19 Full Report
- Parcel-level FEMA flood zone + BFE considerations (point-in-polygon)
- State insurance market pressure + admitted-carrier density
- Premium Strain Index (% of county median income, vs. 5% unaffordable line)
- 10-year NOAA Storm Events claim history for the ZIP
- Negotiation leverage brief with 3-5 specific, evidence-backed asks
- Optional free connection to a licensed independent broker in your state
- Saves you from discovering an uninsurable address after you've gone under contract
- Removes guesswork on what to ask for in repairs, credits, or price reduction
- Analyst editorial sign-off so you can show your agent or lender a reviewed work product, not a raw export
Best for: under-contract buyers
Delivered: 24-hour analyst turnaround
Includes: editorial sign-off + 7-day refund