City Risk Report

Key West, FL

Monroe County · Pop. 26,444

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Key West is one of the clearest cases where scenic scarcity and climate exposure move in the same direction.

FloodHurricaneExtreme Heat

Editorial review: 2026-06-06 · Data retrieved: Jun 6, 2026 at 00:00 UTC (snapshot of historical values) · For the latest live data, run a lookup on the Snapshot tool.

Top 10% nationallySignificant

Overall Risk Score

Top 10% nationally

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Overall Risk

Top 10% nationally

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Expected Loss

$19 report reveals this

Est. Insurance

$19 report reveals this

Last Major Event

2017

Hurricane Irma

Insurance Market Context

These scores are county-level composites derived from FEMA National Risk Index. Individual parcels may differ significantly. This is not a property appraisal.

Insurance market data for Florida is band-only in the free snapshot. The full report includes admitted-carrier share, YoY exit rate, and the FAIR Plan / Citizens last-resort premium range.

$19 report

Premium Strain Index

Band: severe· specific % in $19 report

Premium-to-income ratio. Based on state Department of Insurance filings, average annual premiums in this area range from $5,200 to $12,500. Not an insurance quote. The First Street 12th National Risk Assessment characterizes any ZIP above 5% as financially unsustainable.

Not an insurance quote. These figures are derived from public state Department of Insurance filings and are intended to surface market pressure signals. Actual premiums depend on parcel-specific underwriting factors and carrier availability. Consult a licensed insurance broker for a binding quote.

Monroe County Hazard Breakdown

Scores below are from the federal National Risk Index at the county level, refined with parcel-level signals where available (FEMA NFHL for flood, USDA WHP for wildfire, USGS PGA for earthquake, NWS for heat).

Top 3% nationally

Hurricane

Significant

Data pending

Earthquake

Low risk

3 hazards locked

$19 report

Hazard
Risk Level
Score · Source
Hurricane
Top 3% nationally· FEMA
Earthquake
· FEMA

3 more hazards in the $19 report

Includes score, source, and 30-year projection

What each hazard means for you

Expand any card to see the federal source citation and the buyer-specific action items our research team recommends for this hazard profile.

Hurricane Risk

Top 5% nationallySignificant

Key West ranks in the 99th national percentile for hurricane exposure in the FEMA National Risk Index.

FEMA · National Risk Index

Earthquake Risk

Bottom 20% nationallyMinimal

Key West earthquake data is unavailable. Run an address lookup for parcel-specific assessment.

FEMA · National Risk Index

3 buyer action checklists locked

The full $19 report includes step-by-step buyer actions for every hazard — flood insurance quotes, defensible-space specs, wind mitigation forms, and HVAC sizing per zone.

FEMA Flood Zone

Is this specific parcel in a Special Flood Hazard Area?

The free address snapshot queries FEMA NFHL point-in-polygon and returns your exact FEMA Flood Zone (A, AE, X, etc.) in seconds.

Run a free address lookup

Carrier Outlook

Florida's admitted-carrier market is severely contracted. A broker who specializes in last-resort coverage (FAIR Plan / Citizens) is essential.

Connect with a broker who writes in FL

Data Sources

FEMA NRINOAAUSGSUSDAEPA
Data Sources & Methodology

FEMANational Risk Index

Retrieved June 6, 2026

View source
View full methodology

Editorial Analysis

Editor's Intelligence
Reviewed June 6, 2026

Key West's flood score of 98 and hurricane score of 97 both sit at the 99th national percentile—the statistical ceiling in this dataset. That is not a soft warning. It is a hard description of a city built on a limestone island at sea level, with no natural topographic protection, dependent on a single road corridor for evacuation. Hurricane Irma in 2017 tested every part of that system: severe wind damage, prolonged access disruption, and recovery timelines that stretched well beyond the mainland experience. We checked twice: the gap between visitability and insurability in Key West is measurable in dollars. Annual premiums range from $5,200 to $12,500, and for barrier-adjacent and bayfront properties the upper bound is not a ceiling—it is a starting point. Elevation certificates are often central to pricing discussions, not supporting documents. Some buyers hold both a high property premium and a high flood premium simultaneously, making combined annual insurance costs a genuine budget constraint rather than a formality. The 2023 tidal flooding episodes reinforced what long-term residents already track: routine flooding is a recurring maintenance and access issue, separate from named storm scenarios. Heat at the 88th national percentile keeps cooling demands elevated year-round. The 33040 zip code's sea-level baseline means that even a well-built property faces persistent exposure from tidal events, not just hurricane landfall. Causeway dependence in the outer keys adds a practical recovery risk that insurance cannot fully price. For buyers, the checklist here starts with elevation, then evacuation logistics, before any conversation about aesthetics or rental income projections.

Open Data Collective

Full editorial analysis — including neighborhood-level variations, block-by-block flood overlays, and a tailored insurance-market outlook — is available in the $19 address report.

Historical Events

2017Hurricane

Hurricane Irma

The Keys saw severe wind damage, access disruption, and prolonged recovery issues.

2023Flood

Tidal flooding episodes

Routine flooding reinforced the gap between tourist perception and residential risk.

ZIP Code Risk Profile

Representative ZIP Codes

33040

Key West core

Sea-level and storm-surge exposure are baseline considerations.

Look up

33041

Naval Air Station area

Institutional hardening does not translate directly to residential resilience.

Look up

33042

Sugarloaf and Lower Keys corridor

Evacuation logistics matter alongside parcel elevation.

Look up

33043

Big Coppitt area

Causeway dependence adds practical recovery risk.

Look up

Risk varies significantly by ZIP code and parcel. Use the address-level report for precise, parcel-specific scores rather than city-wide averages.

NRI Score Components

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Overall RiskSignificant
Expected Annual LossSignificant
Social VulnerabilityModerate
Community ResilienceModerate
Resident count at elevated risk
in $19 report

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Key West Climate Risk FAQ

Ready to check your specific address?

Considering buying in Key West?

Two tiers, one funnel: run a free address lookup, then unlock the depth that fits your buying stage. Both options deliver a 12-page climate brief before you go under contract.

Full Report

Tier L2

$19per address

12-page address-level deep dive delivered in minutes.

  • Five-hazard score breakdown (flood, wildfire, hurricane, earthquake, heat)
  • 30-year federal climate projections (FEMA, NOAA, USGS, EPA)
  • Insurance premium estimate (range) based on state DOI filings
  • Clear buy / negotiate / walk-away verdict, not a single ambiguous score
  • 3 comparable lower-risk neighborhoods within 25 miles
  • Saves you 6+ hours of digging through FEMA, NFIP, NRI and NOAA on your own
  • Explains what SFHA, BFE, EAL and residual-market mean in plain English
  • Single PDF you can hand to your partner, agent, or inspector in one share

Best for: pre-offer sanity check

Delivered: 5 minutes after payment

Federal data: FEMA, USGS, NOAA, USDA, EPA

Most comprehensive

Pre-Purchase Audit

Tier L3

$99per property

Adds parcel-level flood evaluation, state insurance-market context, claim history, and a negotiation brief on top of the $19 report.

  • Everything in the $19 Full Report
  • Parcel-level FEMA flood zone + BFE considerations (point-in-polygon)
  • State insurance market pressure + admitted-carrier density
  • Premium Strain Index (% of county median income, vs. 5% unaffordable line)
  • 10-year NOAA Storm Events claim history for the ZIP
  • Negotiation leverage brief with 3-5 specific, evidence-backed asks
  • Optional free connection to a licensed independent broker in your state
  • Saves you from discovering an uninsurable address after you've gone under contract
  • Removes guesswork on what to ask for in repairs, credits, or price reduction
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