City Risk Report
Wilmington, NC
New Hanover County · Pop. 115,451
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Wilmington buyers need to think in terms of repeated rain and river flooding, not just direct hurricane landfalls.
Editorial review: 2026-06-06 · Data retrieved: Jun 6, 2026 at 00:00 UTC (snapshot of historical values) · For the latest live data, run a lookup on the Snapshot tool.
Overall Risk Score
Top 20% nationally
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Overall Risk
Top 20% nationally
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Expected Loss
$19 report reveals this
Est. Insurance
$19 report reveals this
Last Major Event
2018
Hurricane Florence
Insurance Market Context
These scores are county-level composites derived from FEMA National Risk Index. Individual parcels may differ significantly. This is not a property appraisal.
Insurance market data for North Carolina is band-only in the free snapshot. The full report includes admitted-carrier share, YoY exit rate, and the FAIR Plan / Citizens last-resort premium range.
$19 report
Premium Strain Index
Band: severe· specific % in $19 report
Premium-to-income ratio. Based on state Department of Insurance filings, average annual premiums in this area range from $2,300 to $6,200. Not an insurance quote. The First Street 12th National Risk Assessment characterizes any ZIP above 5% as financially unsustainable.
New Hanover County Hazard Breakdown
Scores below are from the federal National Risk Index at the county level, refined with parcel-level signals where available (FEMA NFHL for flood, USDA WHP for wildfire, USGS PGA for earthquake, NWS for heat).
Top 12% nationally
Hurricane
SignificantBottom 20% nationally (84th percentile)
Earthquake
Minimal3 hazards locked
$19 report
3 more hazards in the $19 report
Includes score, source, and 30-year projection
What each hazard means for you
Expand any card to see the federal source citation and the buyer-specific action items our research team recommends for this hazard profile.
Hurricane Risk
Wilmington ranks in the 95th national percentile for hurricane exposure in the FEMA National Risk Index.
FEMA · National Risk Index
Earthquake Risk
Wilmington peak ground acceleration is 0.079g (USGS Design Maps, site class D). For parcel-specific assessment, run an address lookup.
USGS · Design Maps (ASCE 7-16)
3 buyer action checklists locked
The full $19 report includes step-by-step buyer actions for every hazard — flood insurance quotes, defensible-space specs, wind mitigation forms, and HVAC sizing per zone.
FEMA Flood Zone
Is this specific parcel in a Special Flood Hazard Area?
The free address snapshot queries FEMA NFHL point-in-polygon and returns your exact FEMA Flood Zone (A, AE, X, etc.) in seconds.
Run a free address lookupCarrier Outlook
North Carolina's admitted-carrier market is contracting. A broker with state-specific experience is strongly recommended.
Connect with a broker who writes in NCData Sources
Data Sources & Methodology
FEMA— National Risk Index
Retrieved June 6, 2026
USGS— Design Maps (ASCE 7-16)
Retrieved June 6, 2026
Editorial Analysis
Hurricane Florence stalled over coastal North Carolina in September 2018 and deposited more than 35 inches of rain on the Wilmington area over four days—producing river flooding, prolonged access disruption, and recovery timelines that extended weeks for some neighborhoods. Florence's primary damage mechanism was not surge; it was rainfall. That distinction is central to how Wilmington's flood score of 86, at the 94th national percentile, should be read: river systems, marshes, and stormwater drainage drove the losses as much as direct coastal exposure. Hurricane Fran in 1996 remains the durable benchmark for direct wind risk. We checked twice: South Wilmington's 28409 marsh and creek influence rises quickly, creating flood exposure meaningfully different from the historic downtown corridor even within the same city limits. Wilmington Island's 28411 zip code carries higher flood and wind sensitivity—island addresses consistently underwrite differently from mainland Wilmington proper. Back-bay and marsh exposure can matter as much as oceanfront proximity in this market. Annual premiums range from $2,300 to $6,200, with flood insurance required or strongly advisable in most low-lying and coastal-adjacent submarkets. Tree-fall risk and roof age influence storm underwriting: Wilmington's mature urban canopy is an amenity in normal conditions and a wind-damage liability in named storms. Heat at the 76th national percentile is moderate—not the dominant concern—but summer humidity compounds the livability questions that long-duration outages create after major storms. Florence demonstrated that Wilmington buyers need a river-and-marsh flood lens, not just a surge map. The two are related but not identical, and the properties that distinguish them are not always the ones closest to the ocean.
— Open Data Collective
Full editorial analysis — including neighborhood-level variations, block-by-block flood overlays, and a tailored insurance-market outlook — is available in the $19 address report.
Historical Events
Hurricane Florence
Rainfall flooding and long recovery periods reshaped buyer expectations.
Hurricane Fran
A durable benchmark for coastal North Carolina wind risk.
ZIP Code Risk Profile
Representative ZIP Codes
28401
Historic downtown
River flooding and aging building systems matter.
28403
Midtown
Drainage and tree damage are recurring concerns.
28409
South Wilmington
Marsh and creek influence rise quickly here.
28411
Ogden and north side
Growth pressure intersects with floodplain exposure.
Risk varies significantly by ZIP code and parcel. Use the address-level report for precise, parcel-specific scores rather than city-wide averages.
NRI Score Components
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Wilmington Climate Risk FAQ
Ready to check your specific address?
Considering buying in Wilmington?
Two tiers, one funnel: run a free address lookup, then unlock the depth that fits your buying stage. Both options deliver a 12-page climate brief before you go under contract.
Full Report
Tier L2
12-page address-level deep dive delivered in minutes.
- Five-hazard score breakdown (flood, wildfire, hurricane, earthquake, heat)
- 30-year federal climate projections (FEMA, NOAA, USGS, EPA)
- Insurance premium estimate (range) based on state DOI filings
- Clear buy / negotiate / walk-away verdict, not a single ambiguous score
- 3 comparable lower-risk neighborhoods within 25 miles
- Saves you 6+ hours of digging through FEMA, NFIP, NRI and NOAA on your own
- Explains what SFHA, BFE, EAL and residual-market mean in plain English
- Single PDF you can hand to your partner, agent, or inspector in one share
Best for: pre-offer sanity check
Delivered: 5 minutes after payment
Federal data: FEMA, USGS, NOAA, USDA, EPA
Pre-Purchase Audit
Tier L3
Adds parcel-level flood evaluation, state insurance-market context, claim history, and a negotiation brief on top of the $19 report.
- Everything in the $19 Full Report
- Parcel-level FEMA flood zone + BFE considerations (point-in-polygon)
- State insurance market pressure + admitted-carrier density
- Premium Strain Index (% of county median income, vs. 5% unaffordable line)
- 10-year NOAA Storm Events claim history for the ZIP
- Negotiation leverage brief with 3-5 specific, evidence-backed asks
- Optional free connection to a licensed independent broker in your state
- Saves you from discovering an uninsurable address after you've gone under contract
- Removes guesswork on what to ask for in repairs, credits, or price reduction
- Analyst editorial sign-off so you can show your agent or lender a reviewed work product, not a raw export
Best for: under-contract buyers
Delivered: 24-hour analyst turnaround
Includes: editorial sign-off + 7-day refund