City Risk Report
Austin, TX
Travis County · Pop. 961,855
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Austin combines flash-flood variability with heat and smoke risk, which makes neighborhood-level context more important than city averages.
Editorial review: 2026-06-06 · Data retrieved: Jun 6, 2026 at 00:00 UTC (snapshot of historical values) · For the latest live data, run a lookup on the Snapshot tool.
Overall Risk Score
Above the national median (top 40%)
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Overall Risk
Above the national median (top 34%)
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Expected Loss
$19 report reveals this
Est. Insurance
$19 report reveals this
Last Major Event
2015
Memorial Day and Halloween floods
Insurance Market Context
These scores are county-level composites derived from FEMA National Risk Index. Individual parcels may differ significantly. This is not a property appraisal.
Insurance market data for Texas is band-only in the free snapshot. The full report includes admitted-carrier share, YoY exit rate, and the FAIR Plan / Citizens last-resort premium range.
$19 report
Premium Strain Index
Band: high· specific % in $19 report
Premium-to-income ratio. Based on state Department of Insurance filings, average annual premiums in this area range from $1,800 to $4,300. Not an insurance quote. The First Street 12th National Risk Assessment characterizes any ZIP above 5% as financially unsustainable.
Travis County Hazard Breakdown
Scores below are from the federal National Risk Index at the county level, refined with parcel-level signals where available (FEMA NFHL for flood, USDA WHP for wildfire, USGS PGA for earthquake, NWS for heat).
Below the national median (75th percentile)
Hurricane
LowBottom 20% nationally (95th percentile)
Earthquake
Minimal3 hazards locked
$19 report
3 more hazards in the $19 report
Includes score, source, and 30-year projection
What each hazard means for you
Expand any card to see the federal source citation and the buyer-specific action items our research team recommends for this hazard profile.
Hurricane Risk
Austin county-level hurricane data is being loaded from FEMA NRI. For parcel-specific assessment, run an address lookup.
FEMA · National Risk Index
Earthquake Risk
Austin peak ground acceleration is 0.025g (USGS Design Maps, site class D). For parcel-specific assessment, run an address lookup.
USGS · Design Maps (ASCE 7-16)
3 buyer action checklists locked
The full $19 report includes step-by-step buyer actions for every hazard — flood insurance quotes, defensible-space specs, wind mitigation forms, and HVAC sizing per zone.
FEMA Flood Zone
Is this specific parcel in a Special Flood Hazard Area?
The free address snapshot queries FEMA NFHL point-in-polygon and returns your exact FEMA Flood Zone (A, AE, X, etc.) in seconds.
Run a free address lookupCarrier Outlook
Texas's admitted-carrier market is contracting. A broker with state-specific experience is strongly recommended.
Connect with a broker who writes in TXData Sources
Data Sources & Methodology
FEMA— National Risk Index
Retrieved June 6, 2026
USGS— Design Maps (ASCE 7-16)
Retrieved June 6, 2026
Editorial Analysis
Austin's flood score of 68, at the 78th national percentile, understates the hazard that creek and watershed geography actually presents in central Travis County. The Memorial Day flood of May 2015 and the Halloween flood of October 2015 both demonstrated that Barton Creek, Onion Creek, and related tributaries can produce severe flash flooding with minimal warning—affecting neighborhoods that do not market themselves by flood zone status. Heat at the 88th national percentile is the city's top-ranked hazard: the record 2023 summer extended triple-digit temperatures over weeks, raising grid-reliability and cooling-cost questions that a fast-growing city with aging suburban housing stock cannot easily absorb. What we noticed: the Westlake area's hillside wildfire and drainage conditions create a different risk mix from the central creek corridors. South Austin's creek and infill drainage in 78704 can produce localized flooding that comparables in the same zip code do not share. Creek-adjacent homes in Austin underwrite meaningfully differently from properties 200 meters away—a parcel-level distinction that buyers using broad neighborhood searches systematically miss. Annual premiums range from $1,800 to $4,300. Flood insurance is not universally required, but the 2015 creek event history argues for pricing it on creek-adjacent properties regardless of mandatory zone status. Heat resilience is increasingly an operating-cost issue: cooling loads in a 2023-style summer push electricity bills into territory that changes the total cost of ownership for older, less-efficient housing. The wildfire score at the 60th national percentile is moderate but real at the hill-country fringe. Austin's climate risk is a creek-flooding and heat story, and those two hazards compound—not alternate—in the worst event scenarios.
— Open Data Collective
Full editorial analysis — including neighborhood-level variations, block-by-block flood overlays, and a tailored insurance-market outlook — is available in the $19 address report.
Historical Events
Memorial Day and Halloween floods
Flash flooding reinforced the limits of assuming central Texas creeks are minor risks.
Record heat summer
Long heat duration increased cooling and grid-reliability concerns.
ZIP Code Risk Profile
Representative ZIP Codes
78701
Downtown
Urban heat and flash-flooded road access are the main issues.
78704
South Austin core
Creeks and infill drainage create localized risk.
78745
Southwest corridor
Heat and runoff both matter here.
78746
Westlake area
Hillside wildfire and drainage create a different risk mix.
Risk varies significantly by ZIP code and parcel. Use the address-level report for precise, parcel-specific scores rather than city-wide averages.
NRI Score Components
County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions
Austin Climate Risk FAQ
Ready to check your specific address?
Considering buying in Austin?
Two tiers, one funnel: run a free address lookup, then unlock the depth that fits your buying stage. Both options deliver a 12-page climate brief before you go under contract.
Full Report
Tier L2
12-page address-level deep dive delivered in minutes.
- Five-hazard score breakdown (flood, wildfire, hurricane, earthquake, heat)
- 30-year federal climate projections (FEMA, NOAA, USGS, EPA)
- Insurance premium estimate (range) based on state DOI filings
- Clear buy / negotiate / walk-away verdict, not a single ambiguous score
- 3 comparable lower-risk neighborhoods within 25 miles
- Saves you 6+ hours of digging through FEMA, NFIP, NRI and NOAA on your own
- Explains what SFHA, BFE, EAL and residual-market mean in plain English
- Single PDF you can hand to your partner, agent, or inspector in one share
Best for: pre-offer sanity check
Delivered: 5 minutes after payment
Federal data: FEMA, USGS, NOAA, USDA, EPA
Pre-Purchase Audit
Tier L3
Adds parcel-level flood evaluation, state insurance-market context, claim history, and a negotiation brief on top of the $19 report.
- Everything in the $19 Full Report
- Parcel-level FEMA flood zone + BFE considerations (point-in-polygon)
- State insurance market pressure + admitted-carrier density
- Premium Strain Index (% of county median income, vs. 5% unaffordable line)
- 10-year NOAA Storm Events claim history for the ZIP
- Negotiation leverage brief with 3-5 specific, evidence-backed asks
- Optional free connection to a licensed independent broker in your state
- Saves you from discovering an uninsurable address after you've gone under contract
- Removes guesswork on what to ask for in repairs, credits, or price reduction
- Analyst editorial sign-off so you can show your agent or lender a reviewed work product, not a raw export
Best for: under-contract buyers
Delivered: 24-hour analyst turnaround
Includes: editorial sign-off + 7-day refund