City Risk Report

Austin, TX

Travis County · Pop. 961,855

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Austin combines flash-flood variability with heat and smoke risk, which makes neighborhood-level context more important than city averages.

Extreme HeatFloodWildfire

Editorial review: 2026-06-06 · Data retrieved: Jun 6, 2026 at 00:00 UTC (snapshot of historical values) · For the latest live data, run a lookup on the Snapshot tool.

Above the national median (top 40%)Substantial

Overall Risk Score

Above the national median (top 40%)

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Overall Risk

Above the national median (top 34%)

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Expected Loss

$19 report reveals this

Est. Insurance

$19 report reveals this

Last Major Event

2015

Memorial Day and Halloween floods

Insurance Market Context

These scores are county-level composites derived from FEMA National Risk Index. Individual parcels may differ significantly. This is not a property appraisal.

Insurance market data for Texas is band-only in the free snapshot. The full report includes admitted-carrier share, YoY exit rate, and the FAIR Plan / Citizens last-resort premium range.

$19 report

Premium Strain Index

Band: high· specific % in $19 report

Premium-to-income ratio. Based on state Department of Insurance filings, average annual premiums in this area range from $1,800 to $4,300. Not an insurance quote. The First Street 12th National Risk Assessment characterizes any ZIP above 5% as financially unsustainable.

Not an insurance quote. These figures are derived from public state Department of Insurance filings and are intended to surface market pressure signals. Actual premiums depend on parcel-specific underwriting factors and carrier availability. Consult a licensed insurance broker for a binding quote.

Travis County Hazard Breakdown

Scores below are from the federal National Risk Index at the county level, refined with parcel-level signals where available (FEMA NFHL for flood, USDA WHP for wildfire, USGS PGA for earthquake, NWS for heat).

Below the national median (75th percentile)

Hurricane

Low

Bottom 20% nationally (95th percentile)

Earthquake

Minimal

3 hazards locked

$19 report

Hazard
Risk Level
Score · Source
Hurricane
Below the national median (75th percentile)· FEMA
Earthquake
Bottom 20% nationally (95th percentile)· USGS

3 more hazards in the $19 report

Includes score, source, and 30-year projection

What each hazard means for you

Expand any card to see the federal source citation and the buyer-specific action items our research team recommends for this hazard profile.

Hurricane Risk

Below the national medianLow

Austin county-level hurricane data is being loaded from FEMA NRI. For parcel-specific assessment, run an address lookup.

FEMA · National Risk Index

Earthquake Risk

Bottom 20% nationallyMinimal

Austin peak ground acceleration is 0.025g (USGS Design Maps, site class D). For parcel-specific assessment, run an address lookup.

USGS · Design Maps (ASCE 7-16)

3 buyer action checklists locked

The full $19 report includes step-by-step buyer actions for every hazard — flood insurance quotes, defensible-space specs, wind mitigation forms, and HVAC sizing per zone.

FEMA Flood Zone

Is this specific parcel in a Special Flood Hazard Area?

The free address snapshot queries FEMA NFHL point-in-polygon and returns your exact FEMA Flood Zone (A, AE, X, etc.) in seconds.

Run a free address lookup

Carrier Outlook

Texas's admitted-carrier market is contracting. A broker with state-specific experience is strongly recommended.

Connect with a broker who writes in TX

Data Sources

FEMA NRINOAAUSGSUSDAEPA
Data Sources & Methodology

FEMANational Risk Index

Retrieved June 6, 2026

View source

USGSDesign Maps (ASCE 7-16)

Retrieved June 6, 2026

View source
View full methodology

Editorial Analysis

Editor's Intelligence
Reviewed June 6, 2026

Austin's flood score of 68, at the 78th national percentile, understates the hazard that creek and watershed geography actually presents in central Travis County. The Memorial Day flood of May 2015 and the Halloween flood of October 2015 both demonstrated that Barton Creek, Onion Creek, and related tributaries can produce severe flash flooding with minimal warning—affecting neighborhoods that do not market themselves by flood zone status. Heat at the 88th national percentile is the city's top-ranked hazard: the record 2023 summer extended triple-digit temperatures over weeks, raising grid-reliability and cooling-cost questions that a fast-growing city with aging suburban housing stock cannot easily absorb. What we noticed: the Westlake area's hillside wildfire and drainage conditions create a different risk mix from the central creek corridors. South Austin's creek and infill drainage in 78704 can produce localized flooding that comparables in the same zip code do not share. Creek-adjacent homes in Austin underwrite meaningfully differently from properties 200 meters away—a parcel-level distinction that buyers using broad neighborhood searches systematically miss. Annual premiums range from $1,800 to $4,300. Flood insurance is not universally required, but the 2015 creek event history argues for pricing it on creek-adjacent properties regardless of mandatory zone status. Heat resilience is increasingly an operating-cost issue: cooling loads in a 2023-style summer push electricity bills into territory that changes the total cost of ownership for older, less-efficient housing. The wildfire score at the 60th national percentile is moderate but real at the hill-country fringe. Austin's climate risk is a creek-flooding and heat story, and those two hazards compound—not alternate—in the worst event scenarios.

Open Data Collective

Full editorial analysis — including neighborhood-level variations, block-by-block flood overlays, and a tailored insurance-market outlook — is available in the $19 address report.

Historical Events

2015Flood

Memorial Day and Halloween floods

Flash flooding reinforced the limits of assuming central Texas creeks are minor risks.

2023Extreme Heat

Record heat summer

Long heat duration increased cooling and grid-reliability concerns.

ZIP Code Risk Profile

Representative ZIP Codes

78701

Downtown

Urban heat and flash-flooded road access are the main issues.

Look up

78704

South Austin core

Creeks and infill drainage create localized risk.

Look up

78745

Southwest corridor

Heat and runoff both matter here.

Look up

78746

Westlake area

Hillside wildfire and drainage create a different risk mix.

Look up

Risk varies significantly by ZIP code and parcel. Use the address-level report for precise, parcel-specific scores rather than city-wide averages.

NRI Score Components

County-level composite · does not reflect parcel-specific conditions

Overall RiskSubstantial
Expected Annual LossSubstantial
Social VulnerabilityModerate
Community ResilienceSubstantial
Resident count at elevated risk
in $19 report

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Austin Climate Risk FAQ

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Considering buying in Austin?

Two tiers, one funnel: run a free address lookup, then unlock the depth that fits your buying stage. Both options deliver a 12-page climate brief before you go under contract.

Full Report

Tier L2

$19per address

12-page address-level deep dive delivered in minutes.

  • Five-hazard score breakdown (flood, wildfire, hurricane, earthquake, heat)
  • 30-year federal climate projections (FEMA, NOAA, USGS, EPA)
  • Insurance premium estimate (range) based on state DOI filings
  • Clear buy / negotiate / walk-away verdict, not a single ambiguous score
  • 3 comparable lower-risk neighborhoods within 25 miles
  • Saves you 6+ hours of digging through FEMA, NFIP, NRI and NOAA on your own
  • Explains what SFHA, BFE, EAL and residual-market mean in plain English
  • Single PDF you can hand to your partner, agent, or inspector in one share

Best for: pre-offer sanity check

Delivered: 5 minutes after payment

Federal data: FEMA, USGS, NOAA, USDA, EPA

Most comprehensive

Pre-Purchase Audit

Tier L3

$99per property

Adds parcel-level flood evaluation, state insurance-market context, claim history, and a negotiation brief on top of the $19 report.

  • Everything in the $19 Full Report
  • Parcel-level FEMA flood zone + BFE considerations (point-in-polygon)
  • State insurance market pressure + admitted-carrier density
  • Premium Strain Index (% of county median income, vs. 5% unaffordable line)
  • 10-year NOAA Storm Events claim history for the ZIP
  • Negotiation leverage brief with 3-5 specific, evidence-backed asks
  • Optional free connection to a licensed independent broker in your state
  • Saves you from discovering an uninsurable address after you've gone under contract
  • Removes guesswork on what to ask for in repairs, credits, or price reduction
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Best for: under-contract buyers

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